One scientist went so far as to accuse it of lying. The programme ascribed
rising global temperatures to fluctuations in solar energy reaching the earth,
or
solar
irradiance. This fluctuates over an 11-year cycle, with larger variations
over the centuries, and is one of many variables that must be fed into climate
models. Even looked at in isolation, the figures are not reassuring.
Global temperature since 1980 has risen sharply while solar radiation has
remained relatively flat. The programme cited the fallibility of computer models
as grounds for scepticism. Yet, as with all weather forecasts, the fact that
they can be wrong doesn’t mean they cannot say some things for sure. And the
argument cuts both ways: the models could be underestimating the problem.
The possibility exists that we could trigger a thermal runaway that destroys
all life on earth. But happily that is not considered at all likely. Professor
Martin Visbeck, of Keil University, told PCW: “We are far more likely to be
destroyed in the next 300 or 400 years by a new disease sweeping across the
world.”
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