Apple's
launch of
iTunes video
rentals has prompted analysts to suggest that the rental business model will
dominate US consumption of online movies in the short term.
Overall online pay video streams for downloads will grow from 215 million in
2008 to over 2.4 billion in 2012, and rentals will account for approximately
half of these sales, according to
ABI
Research.
"The opening up of video rental on iTunes is not surprising, given that this
is how most consumers looking for legal paid movie downloads will choose to
acquire them," said ABI director Michael Wolf.
"Distribution offerings for movies in attractive release windows, and that
offer easy viewing on a TV or portable screen, will see the greatest success."
However, Wolf added that challenges still remain for this market,
particularly competition from legacy video-on-demand services as well as "
unattractive" ownership and rental terms offered by film studios for online
movies.
Cable and IPTV service providers are offering "impressive" video-on-demand
libraries to consumers through traditional pay video services.
"Studios are locked into the same 24-hour 'once-started' viewing window and
similar pricing for all online rental partners," said Wolf.
"We believe that over time they will begin to offer greater flexibility, in
particular as DVD and other physical media continue to mature and new consumer
internet-to-TV hardware expands their audience of consumers."
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